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Re: VIRAL BLIP

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You should never rely on a single viral load result to make conclusions about your therapy. Your next test will likely be undetectable.

The viral load test can be very easily contaminated.

The error range of the test is large, 1/2 log which is a lot larger than most people realize. This means that your same blood sample divided into a number of tests would have resulted in a different number each time. How much different? Here' an estimate.

Even if the test is not contaminated, your result of 148 is actually somewhere between 47 and 468, in other words between undetectable and 468. What your actual number is cannot be known.

The Math: Log (148) = 2.17

The low-estimate is 2.17 - 0.5 = 1.67 to convert this back to a viral load, ten to the 1.67 power, 10^1.67 = 47

The high-estimate is 2.17 + 0.5 = 2.67 to convert this back to a viral load, ten to the 2.67 power, 10^2.67 = 468

How Undetectable is Undetectable?

Studies using various highly sensitive research tests have shown that more than 80% of those people who are undetectable under 50, actually have a viral load less than ten. The low and high estimate for 10 would be 3 to 32, both undetectable under 50. This explains why people who are undetectable are usually repeatedly undetectable, even when using such an inaccurate test.

>> AFTER BEING UNDETECTABLE FOR THE PAST 5 YEARS I HAVE EXPERIENCED A BLIP > VR 148 NEEDELESS TO SAY IM FRIGHTENED I HAVE NOT MISSED MORE THAN 1 > DOSE IN THE PAST MONTH ALTHOUGH I HAVE NOT ALWAYS DOSED ON SCHEDUALE I > WOULD HATE TO THINK MY NUKE BASED REGIMENT IS FAILING AND I LOATH THE > THOUGHT OF ANOTHER PI BASED REGIMENT AS I DEVELOPED LIPO PREVIOUSLY ANY > INSIGHTS GROUP? THANKS>

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