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Sorry for those of you who couldn't open my previous e-mail attachment. I cut and pasted it below for simplification. Again, I do not follow Nostradamus, nor do I know how reliable the following information is.

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Claim: A 1654 Nostradamus prediction said World War III would begin with the fall of "two brothers," a reference to the destroyed World Trade Center towers.

Status: False.

Example: [Collected on the Internet, 2001]

"In the City of God there will be a great thunder, Two brothers torn apart by Chaos, while the fortress endures, the great leader will succumb, The third big war will begin when the big city is burning"

Nostradamus 1654

Origins: The turmoil of recent events has us all scrambling, some to look for solace and meaning, others for the terrorists responsible, and yet others for signs that what happened could have been prevented or at least foreseen. The 11 September 2001 attack on America destroyed not only the two World Trade Center towers in New York City, a chunk of the Pentagon in Washington, and caused untold loss of life, it also shook America's sense of invulnerability. No longer do Americans presume safety in an unsafe world.

For some, that realization is an eye-opener, unsettling but necessary, in that a child's blissful unawareness has been replaced (at great cost) with an adult's more clear-eyed view of the world and its sometimes horrifying ways. For others, it spells the beginning of the end, in that they equated an illusion of safety with its reality and thus now feel their world is ending. It is the fears of that second group that are given voice in the Nostradamus prediction circulated on the Internet even before the dust had settled in New York.

The French physician and astrologer Nostradamus (1503-1566) penned numerous quatrains populated by obscure imagery that the credulous have ever after attempted to fit to the events of their times. These predictions can often ring somewhat true in that the images employed are so general they can be found in almost every event of import, but by the same token, the prophecies are never a dead-on fit because the wordings are far too general. Not that this stops anyone from believing in them; our society's need for mysticism runs far too deep to ever allow for that.

Those looking for the certainty of a Nostradamus prophecy come true have been known to sledge hammer the results to force a fit by inventing fanciful translations from the original French, bend over backwards to assert one named term is really another, and (as in this case) outright fabricate part or all of the prediction.

Nostradamus did not write the quatrain now being attributed to him. (One wonders how a guy who died in 1566 could have written an item identified as being penned in 1654 anyway.) It originated with a student at Brock University in Canada in the 1990s, appearing on a web page essay on Nostradamus. That particular quatrain was offered by the page's author, Neil Marshall, as a fabricated example to illustrate how easily an important-sounding prophecy can be crafted through the use of abstract imagery. He pointed out how the terms he used were so deliberately vague they could be interpreted to fit any number of cataclysmic events.

(A dissertation on a somewhat similar-sounding real prophecy of Nostradamus' which contains the line "From the sky will come a great King of Terror" can be found here. Note that even a liberal reading places the events it describes in July of 1999, not September of 2001, and the same prophecy has already long since been applied to a wide variety of different events -- both real and imagined.)

It appears someone mistook Marshall's illustrative example for an actual Nostradamus prophecy and, not content to let well enough alone, added "The third big war will begin when the big city is burning." A fabrication was thus further fabricated.

But that wasn't the end of it. More fakery was piled on in later versions that now included all of the text quoted in the Example section above but now concluded with:

"on the 11th day of the 9 month that... two metal birds would crash into two tall statues... in the new city... and the world will end soon after"

Similarly, another enhanced version incorporates the Example text into a more detailed prophecy:

And Nostradamus predicted this (who knows how long ago):

"In the year of the new century and nine months,From the sky will come a great King of Terror...The sky will burn at forty-five degrees.Fire approaches the great new city...""In the city of york there will be a great collapse,2 twin brothers torn apart by chaoswhile the fortress falls the great leader will succumbthird big war will begin when the big city is burning"

Another version asserts:

"The third great war will start when the two tall lances fall in the great city. The day birds offer themselves up to the heavens"

The closest any true Nostradamus writing comes to any of these is the one often cited as Century 6, Quatrain 97:

Cinq and quarante degrez ciel bruslera Feu approcher de la grand cité neuve Instant grand flamme esparse sautera Quand on voudra des Normans faire preuue.

An approximate English translation would be:

Five and forty steps the sky will burn Fire approaching the large new city Instantly a great thin flame will leap When someone will want to test the Normans.

Even if this is a real prophecy of Nostradamus', it simply provides more evidence of how much shoehorning has to be performed to get one of these vague "predictions" to fit modern occurrences. It cites no date whatsoever. The line about a sky that "will burn at forty-five steps" is interpreted to refer to New York City, the "forty-five steps" being the Big Apple's latitude -- never mind that New York City is actually below the 41° latitude mark, and that several major North American cities (e.g., Boston, Milwaukee, Chicago, Minneapolis, Toronto, Montreal) are much closer to 45° latitude than Gotham. As well, New York (one of North America's oldest cities) is only "new" in the sense that its name contains the word "new" (a criterion which describes many other of the world's large cities, such as New Delhi), the flames resulting from the terrorist attack in New York were anything but "thin" (or "scattered"); and nobody has a clue what "Normans" have to do with hijacked airliners crashing into American cities.

All in all, the Great Chicago Fire of 1871 is a much better fit for this one. So is the explosion resulting from the collision of the ships Mont Blanc and Imo in 1917, which killed thousands of people and destroyed much of Halifax -- a city just a few degrees shy of 45° latitude. To top it all off, this very same verse was widely cited five years ago as having "predicted" the mysterious crash of TWA Flight 800 in July 1996.

Just once, we'd like someone to tell us what one of Nostradamus' "prophecies" means in advance of the event it supposedly describes.

Barbara "la cosa nostradamus" Mikkelson

Last updated: 11 September 2001

The URL for this page is http://www.snopes.com/inboxer/hoaxes/predict.htm Click here to e-mail this page to a friend

Urban Legends Reference Pages © 1995-2001 by Barbara and P. Mikkelson This material may not be reproduced without permission

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