Guest guest Posted November 30, 2007 Report Share Posted November 30, 2007 Thursday, 29 November 2007 MacCallum Cancer Centre and University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia To define and incorporate the impact of the percentage of positive biopsy cores (PPC) into a predictive model of prostate cancer radiotherapy biochemical outcome The data of 3264 men with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with external beam radiotherapy at four institutions were retrospectively analyzed. Standard prognostic and treatment factors plus the number of biopsy cores collected and the number positive for malignancy by transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy were available. The primary endpoint was biochemical failure (bF, Phoenix definition). Multivariate proportional hazards analyses were performed and expressed as a nomogram and the model's predictive ability assessed using the concordance index (c-index). The cohort consisted of 21% low-, 51% intermediate-, and 28% high-risk cancer patients, and 30% had androgen deprivation with radiotherapy. The median PPC was 50% (interquartile range [iQR] 29-67%), and median follow-up was 51 months (IQR 29-71 months). Percentage of positive biopsy cores displayed an independent association with the risk of bF (p = 0.01), as did age, prostate-specific antigen value, Gleason score, clinical stage, androgen deprivation duration, and radiotherapy dose (p < 0.001 for all). Including PPC increased the c-index from 0.72 to 0.73 in the overall model. The influence of PPC varied significantly with radiotherapy dose and clinical stage (p = 0.02 for both interactions), with doses <66 Gy and palpable tumors showing the strongest relationship between PPC and bF. Intermediate-risk patients were poorly discriminated regardless of PPC inclusion (c-index 0.65 for both models). Outcome models incorporating PPC show only minor additional ability to predict biochemical failure beyond those containing standard prognostic factors. Written by SG, Buyyounouski MK, Pickles T, Kestin L, ez A, Hanlon AL, Duchesne GM. Reference Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2007 Oct 27; [Epub ahead of print] doi:10.1016/j.ijrobp.2007.08.021 PubMed Abstract PMID:17967518 Thursday, 29 November 2007 Department of Radiation Oncology, Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania The American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology (ASTRO) definition of biochemical failure (BF) incorporates backdating, resulting in an artificial flattening of Kaplan-Meier curves and overly favorable estimates when follow-up is short. The nadir + 2 ng/mL (Nadir + 2; Phoenix) definition reduces these artifacts. The objective of the current study was to compare ASTRO and Phoenix BF estimates as determinants of distant metastasis (DM), cause-specific mortality (CSM), and overall mortality (OM). A total of 1831 patients with T1-4N0M0 prostate cancer were treated with external beam radiotherapy (RT) using conventional or three-dimensional conformal methods to at least 60 grays (Gy). The median follow-up was 71 months and the median RT dose was 72 Gy (range, 60-79 Gy). regression models incorporating BF as a time-dependent covariate were used for both univariate and multivariate analyses. Other covariates included in the analyses were T classification, Gleason score, neoadjuvant/adjuvant androgen deprivation, age, RT dose, and pretreatment prostate-specific antigen. BF was observed in 389 men (21%) using the Phoenix definition and 460 men (25%) using the ASTRO definition. DM was observed in 84 patients (5%), 48 patients (3%) patients died of prostate cancer, and 404 patients (22%) died of any cause. The Phoenix definition of BF was found to be a significant predictor of DM, CSM, and OM, after controlling for other significant covariates. The ASTRO definition was found to be associated with CSM and DM, but not OM. The Phoenix definition of BF is a more robust determinant of patient outcome compared with the ASTRO definition. The correlation with mortality, including OM, and the independence of this correlation from the use of neoadjuvant/adjuvant androgen deprivation, supports the use of Nadir + 2 in prostate cancer clinical trials of RT with or without androgen deprivation. Cancer 2007. © 2007 American Cancer Society. Written by Abramowitz MC, Li T, Buyyounouski MK, Ross E, Uzzo RG, Pollack A, Horwitz EM. Reference Cancer. 2007 Oct 29; [Epub ahead of print] doi:10.1002/cncr.23139 PubMed Abstract PMID:17968996 C. Meade Native American proverb: Tell me and I’ll forget, show me and I may not remember, involve me, and I’ll understand, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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