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Beware of the Waffle

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January 2, 2003

NUTRITION NEWS FOCUS

" Nutrition news is important. We help you understand it! "

Today's Topic: Beware of the Waffle

In nutrition and medical reports, you really need to focus on the

" waffle " words that are typically used by scientists: may, if, could.

This is the usual language of scientific publications, not " builds

strong bones " which is the domain of the public relations expert.

Reports of no differences are of little interest, so scientists

usually exploit statistically significant differences, even if small

or biologically meaningless. Sometimes, more than one endpoint in a

study is combined (like heart attacks and deaths) to find

statistically significant differences because there was no significant

effect on heart attacks or deaths.

HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW: The first study on anything

is usually something worth reading but should not be the basis for a

change in your lifestyle. If Brussels sprouts are found to prevent

colon cancer, I want to see it reproduced at least a couple of times

in people eating a diet like mine before I start eating them every

day. Unfortunately, in science being second is even worse than

finishing second in the Olympics. Nobody remembers and nobody cares

about runners up in science, even though confirmation of findings is a

fundamental part of the process. It is extremely rare to see a media

report that a study is confirming what was published six years

earlier, even though this happens regularly.

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