Guest guest Posted November 11, 2005 Report Share Posted November 11, 2005 , 1. Factually, one cannot cost effectively report included confirmed " DSM OV/CDER Group 1 " in real time for a number of reasons. 2. Factually, the absolute number of added cases per quarter has been declining for some time and the 2003 addition of " inclusion " criteria has been shown to accoutn for no more than a 1% decrease in the number of included confirmed cases vis-a-vis the number of confirmed cases. 3. When the growth in the number of babies being born is factored in, the CA data, though displaced by 3 years because of the time to be an official confirmed " autism " case, indicate that the peak occurred in CA just after the industry began reducing the amount of mercury in the childhood vaccines that had been Thimerosal-preserved (part of this decline may be attributable to the public's decision to delay vaccination until safer vaccines were available. Hopefully, you will first understand the process by which diagnosed " autism " cases are confirmed and then assessed for incluson as well as take the biostatistical courses needed to truly " understand " the realities in CA or, for that matter, the realities in the initial Verstraeten studies that have been deliberately misrepresented to the public because we need more qualified biostatisticians to truthfully comment on these matters. Respectfully, Dr. King http://www.dr-king.com ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ At 08:00 11/11/05 -0000, twoweasleys wrote: > >I agree, the California autism numbers are worth watching, although >they don't report incidence in " real time " and are looking at service >usage rather than exact diagnoses, as far as I understand (I may be >wrong). And wasn't it the *increase* in intake numbers rather than the >actual numbers that are going down? I will some more reading on that >(have downloaded the September report, but I find them difficult to >interpret). > > > > >> >> >> >> >> I don't have the web address but I am sure you can do a search and >find the >> California autism rates for this year and see that in the last three >> quarters that autism has actually been declining. I think that the final >> quarter (Oct-Dec) will show that it is continuing to decline. You >can argue >> research all day, but you can't argue with fact in numbers. If the >autism >> rates continue to fall then there is your " proof " without all the >science >> mumbo jumbo. >> Just my two cents. >> >> >... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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