Who should get influenza vaccine?

[Guest guest]

Who should get influenza vaccine?

An American flu pandemic would present difficult and tragic choices:

As many as 90 million people might become sick, and widespread

shortages of vaccine would likely leave more than 90 percent of the

population unprotected in the pandemic's first year.

When there is not enough medicine for all, how should government

prioritize who gets the scarce doses first?

One seemingly obvious answer, and one endorsed by two federal

committees, would be to ration the medicine in such a way as to save

the most lives possible. But in a paper appearing in the May 12 issue

of the journal Science, University of Vermont ethicist Alan

Wertheimer, professor emeritus of political science and current

visiting scholar at the National Institutes of Health, and Ezekiel

Emanuel, head of the NIH's clinical bioethics department, argue for

an alternative approach.

Attempting to save the most lives gives the oldest, youngest and

sickest priority for vaccination. Guidelines from the National

Vaccine Advisory Committee and the Advisory Committee on Immunization

Policy, in fact, place healthy people aged 2 to 64 as the very lowest

priority, below even funeral directors.

Emanuel and Wertheimer's distribution recommendations are different:

they put healthy people from early adolescence to middle age toward

the front of the line for vaccination. (Both sets of recommendations

give first priority to frontline health-care workers and people

involved in producing and distributing vaccine.) They argue for

allocating scarce medicine by accounting for an individual's degree

of investment in his or life, balancing that consideration with

attention to life expectancy.

" The idea is that it's important to ask whose lives are they and at

what point in life are they, " says Wertheimer, who co-developed the

UVM Honors College's first-year ethics curriculum before retiring

last year. " There is a big difference between saving the most lives

and the most life years. "

He explains that a 20-year-old might have 65 years left to live; a 65-

year-old, in contrast, might expect to live only 20 more years. To

Emanuel and Wertheimer, it was not necessarily desirable to dedicate

vaccines to sick retirees with few remaining life years at the

expense of healthy college students. So they argue for an alternative

approach, one partially based on what they call the " life-cycle

principle. "

The principle asserts that people should be permitted an opportunity

to live through all stages of life, experiencing childhood,

adolescence, a maturing career and family. From this perspective, the

death of a child is more tragic than the death of an elderly person,

not because older people are less important, but because the younger

person has not yet had the opportunity to enjoy all of life.

But distributing vaccines solely to maximize years of life has

problems of its own, chiefly because it would, if followed strictly,

allocate all resources to infants. So Emanuel and Wertheimer argue

that vaccine policy should also consider the amount an individual has

invested in his or her life. A 20-year-old, they suggest, has

developed more unfulfilled interests, plans and hopes than a baby and

therefore deserves a higher priority for vaccine.

They also emphasize public order in their suggested vaccine-

distribution priorities, giving vaccine priority to people in roles

that help stanch the spread of disease. They say this actually reduce

the overall death toll of an epidemic if it follows a trajectory

similar to the 1918 outbreak rather than more recent epidemics.

Wertheimer concedes that making these kinds of calculations is

extremely difficult and controversial.

" People don't like to ask the sorts of the questions in this paper, "

Wertheimer says. " It would be nice if we did not have to confront

this issue. And we may not have to. But at some point, it seems

likely that we may have to confront a pandemic or something else that

poses a similar dilemma. "

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