Guest guest Posted October 27, 2005 Report Share Posted October 27, 2005 Medscape coverage of: Digestive Disease Week 2005 | Highlights in Liver Disease Issues in Cirrhosis and Liver Transplantation Tram T. Tran, MD Acute Liver Failure Acute liver failure is manifest by jaundice, coagulopathy, and encephalopathy within 26 weeks, and carries a high mortality (> 80%) without transplant. The US Acute Failure Study Group led by Lorenzo Rossaro published their study results investigating the prognostic value of the MELD score in 729 adult patients with acute liver failure.[15] Although they found that a MELD score of < 30 (negative predictive value 82%) may predict spontaneous survival, a high MELD score did not predict poor outcome well. and colleagues[16] analyzed 29 patients with acute liver failure secondary to acute hepatitis A, and reported a 45% death or transplant rate. Factors associated with poor outcome were sex (male), low alanine amino transferase (ALT) and alkaline phosphatase levels, and higher serum creatinine. The study authors then developed a 4-variable index for predicting poor prognosis using any 2 out of 4 criteria upon admission to yield a positive predictive value of 86% and negative predictive value of 93%: creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL, ALT < 2600 IU/mL, use of pressors, or intubation. This group also reported the outcome in patients who had acute liver failure secondary to hepatic ischemia and as would be expected, cardiopulmonary disease and hypotension were identified risk factors.[17] Mortality rate in this group was 34%, and renal function again played a role in prognosis. Early prediction of which patients will require transplantation is still a difficult and elusive clinical task, and will require further study. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest guest Posted October 27, 2005 Report Share Posted October 27, 2005 Medscape coverage of: Digestive Disease Week 2005 | Highlights in Liver Disease Issues in Cirrhosis and Liver Transplantation Tram T. Tran, MD Acute Liver Failure Acute liver failure is manifest by jaundice, coagulopathy, and encephalopathy within 26 weeks, and carries a high mortality (> 80%) without transplant. The US Acute Failure Study Group led by Lorenzo Rossaro published their study results investigating the prognostic value of the MELD score in 729 adult patients with acute liver failure.[15] Although they found that a MELD score of < 30 (negative predictive value 82%) may predict spontaneous survival, a high MELD score did not predict poor outcome well. and colleagues[16] analyzed 29 patients with acute liver failure secondary to acute hepatitis A, and reported a 45% death or transplant rate. Factors associated with poor outcome were sex (male), low alanine amino transferase (ALT) and alkaline phosphatase levels, and higher serum creatinine. The study authors then developed a 4-variable index for predicting poor prognosis using any 2 out of 4 criteria upon admission to yield a positive predictive value of 86% and negative predictive value of 93%: creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL, ALT < 2600 IU/mL, use of pressors, or intubation. This group also reported the outcome in patients who had acute liver failure secondary to hepatic ischemia and as would be expected, cardiopulmonary disease and hypotension were identified risk factors.[17] Mortality rate in this group was 34%, and renal function again played a role in prognosis. Early prediction of which patients will require transplantation is still a difficult and elusive clinical task, and will require further study. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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